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2024-12-13 11:37:52

CITIC Securities: The supply and demand pattern may meet the turning point, paying attention to the strategic allocation value of the magnesium industry. CITIC Securities Research Report said that magnesium prices have stopped falling and stabilized recently, and magnesium as a strategic attribute of China's superior resources is expected to continue to improve. At present, there is a widespread cost inversion in factories, and the willingness to support the price by cost is enhanced, and the purchasing and storage measures are superimposed. We believe that the magnesium price is expected to open an upward channel. At present, the ratio of magnesium to aluminum is reduced to about 0.9 at the bottom, which is conducive to the accelerated promotion of magnesium alloys, and the downstream fields such as new energy vehicles, low-altitude economy, humanoid robots and solid hydrogen storage have broad prospects.Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Korea: We will pay close attention to the financial and foreign exchange market trends and take adequate measures to curb excessive fluctuations in the foreign exchange market.Policy combination boosts confidence, and public offering: China's assets will usher in a further increase in valuation. On December 9, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. A number of public offerings said that the meeting sent a very positive signal. At present, the economy is resilient, the investor structure is constantly optimized, and the market activity continues to increase. China assets may have an opportunity to raise their valuations again. From the perspective of funds, Jing Shun Great Wall Fund analyzed that the current A-share market is in the most active stage since 2015, and there are many potential bulls in the market. Policy expectations are expected to drive incremental funds into the market, forming a resonance between emotions and funds. (SSE)


NVIDIA's market value evaporated by 660 billion yuan overnight. On December 10th, local time, the three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.35%, the Nasdaq down 0.25% and the S&P 500 index down 0.30%. Among them, NVIDIA fell by 2.69%, and its market value evaporated by 91.593 billion US dollars (about 664.047 billion yuan) overnight.Nikkei futures opened down 95 points at 39,290 on the Singapore Stock Exchange.TF Securities: The supply-side reform of cement has gradually entered the second stage, and the industry profits are expected to go out of the relative bottom. According to the TF Securities Research Report, the whole process of the supply-side reform of cement industry can be divided into two steps. In the first step, the effect of "reducing production" was achieved by controlling the new production capacity and promoting peak-shifting production nationwide, and the industry profits were pushed up to a new high in 2019. At present, the cement industry is gradually entering the second stage of supply-side reform, and it is expected to realize the withdrawal of actual production capacity with the help of market-oriented behaviors such as environmental protection, double carbon policy and enterprise merger and reorganization. In the short term, peak-shifting production is still the most effective means to adjust the balance between supply and demand. After entering 2025, with the gradual tightening of the policy of restricting overcapacity, enterprises are forced to withdraw from small and medium-sized production capacity by making up the indicators of overcapacity, and the industry is expected to begin to realize real capacity clearing. In 2027, it will enter the stage of deepening and perfecting carbon trading, and the effect of industry capacity optimization is expected to be further revealed. At present, the profit end of the cement industry has shown signs of stabilization. Under the dual promotion of policy-driven and self-restraint under the growth of corporate profit demands, the profit in the fourth quarter is expected to begin to walk out of the relative bottom. CONCH, Shangfeng Cement, huaxin cement, China Resources Building Materials Technology and Western Cement are recommended.


Guotai Junan: The bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. Guotai Junan Securities recently released the prospect of China's equity investment strategy in 2025, and the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. After a long period of continuous adjustment, pessimistic expectation and clear microstructure, it is a prerequisite for the stock market to have valuation flexibility. The positive change of decision-makers' attitude towards reversing the economic situation and supporting the capital market is an important cornerstone for revising long-term expectations and getting rid of "bear market thinking" and raising the bottom of the stock market. The reform of the capital market will improve shareholders' returns, and resolving debts, promoting reform and stabilizing asset prices are expected to constitute the new "three arrows" of China's economic development, and the transformation bull of China's stock market is taking shape.Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.NVIDIA's market value evaporated by 660 billion yuan overnight. On December 10th, local time, the three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.35%, the Nasdaq down 0.25% and the S&P 500 index down 0.30%. Among them, NVIDIA fell by 2.69%, and its market value evaporated by 91.593 billion US dollars (about 664.047 billion yuan) overnight.

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